Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 73485.643478 77682.676579 81885.821509 86407.867925 91132.386200 95919.697433 101134.278152
2025-11-30 66686.666326 73090.238102 79689.127904 86988.045027 94825.525916 102978.952902 112092.778030
2025-12-07 61924.276136 69843.324339 78189.830800 87623.182148 97968.761566 108949.645048 121466.111284
2025-12-14 57824.782161 66823.948161 76490.928697 87615.780762 100031.980109 113430.029527 128947.078583
2025-12-21 54670.066866 64539.158507 75318.092258 87918.250008 102194.484394 117818.481523 136160.016683
2025-12-28 52729.476059 63431.673117 75292.609289 89348.672727 105484.366745 123359.827321 144589.735570
2026-01-04 50808.853849 62197.703937 74991.223950 90344.271826 108180.841276 128160.448389 152139.940816
2026-01-11 48908.043391 60863.190745 74464.136928 90978.822899 110379.143385 132333.730572 158939.443313
2026-01-18 46912.200788 59306.991406 73579.975008 91105.172810 111910.017070 135681.912858 164752.243002
2026-01-25 45146.573061 57935.933522 72833.245529 91318.468220 113480.371052 139031.715208 170542.753454
2026-02-01 43359.831862 56457.265206 71883.731046 91220.434305 114623.275575 141838.112627 175670.982501
2026-02-08 42120.175983 55590.127838 71619.773333 91901.628771 116662.879364 145685.157485 182030.559714
2026-02-15 40496.202673 54202.516892 70688.445062 91749.962401 117693.744181 148348.047929 187025.302057
2026-02-22 39673.246529 53784.937346 70923.932352 93011.970857 120440.244856 153084.056022 194548.189891
2026-03-01 38693.923309 53126.891015 70825.048984 93830.878112 122625.486347 157138.930653 201264.969280
2026-03-08 37404.883558 52022.839300 70122.871138 93856.321242 123798.562698 159943.061305 206456.768778
2026-03-15 36331.090729 51157.095205 69686.090896 94183.811607 125324.146350 163167.996567 212169.043955
2026-03-22 35850.816528 51045.189649 70193.741384 95698.765648 128338.365746 168241.715495 220192.203502
2026-03-29 35198.917154 50679.819166 70353.388963 96752.269601 130762.830397 172589.439238 227339.019703
2026-04-05 34419.792604 50116.366382 70231.794359 97423.508489 132689.666454 176316.142606 233727.939195
2026-04-12 33456.581668 49273.189023 69715.782968 97557.160268 133909.694193 179147.164838 238999.810196
2026-04-19 32577.368128 48515.789174 69287.339695 97782.749247 135232.245549 182101.768692 244435.324048
2026-04-26 31608.539140 47605.477183 68628.189138 97679.068697 136108.212829 184478.907808 249141.225962